Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000294 0.000329 0.000367 0.000412 0.000462 0.000517 0.000583
2025-01-05 0.000237 0.000289 0.000351 0.000430 0.000528 0.000648 0.000805
2025-01-12 0.000193 0.000250 0.000322 0.000421 0.000554 0.000728 0.000977
2025-01-19 0.000158 0.000215 0.000290 0.000400 0.000556 0.000774 0.001105
2025-01-26 0.000141 0.000199 0.000281 0.000404 0.000590 0.000864 0.001305
2025-02-02 0.000131 0.000193 0.000282 0.000423 0.000647 0.000992 0.001582
2025-02-09 0.000118 0.000178 0.000269 0.000419 0.000665 0.001064 0.001777
2025-02-16 0.000108 0.000168 0.000262 0.000423 0.000697 0.001159 0.002027
2025-02-23 0.000098 0.000157 0.000252 0.000419 0.000714 0.001231 0.002244
2025-03-02 0.000091 0.000150 0.000246 0.000421 0.000741 0.001325 0.002517
2025-03-09 0.000085 0.000142 0.000239 0.000420 0.000762 0.001407 0.002780
2025-03-16 0.000076 0.000130 0.000223 0.000401 0.000748 0.001421 0.002906
2025-03-23 0.000071 0.000124 0.000218 0.000403 0.000776 0.001525 0.003248
2025-03-30 0.000068 0.000122 0.000221 0.000420 0.000836 0.001705 0.003794
2025-04-06 0.000063 0.000114 0.000211 0.000411 0.000841 0.001771 0.004092
2025-04-13 0.000056 0.000104 0.000196 0.000391 0.000820 0.001775 0.004242
2025-04-20 0.000053 0.000101 0.000193 0.000396 0.000853 0.001905 0.004734
2025-04-27 0.000052 0.000101 0.000197 0.000414 0.000920 0.002128 0.005516
2025-05-04 0.000049 0.000096 0.000191 0.000410 0.000934 0.002221 0.005965
2025-05-11 0.000046 0.000093 0.000188 0.000414 0.000967 0.002370 0.006607
2025-05-18 0.000043 0.000088 0.000183 0.000410 0.000981 0.002470 0.007125
2025-05-25 0.000041 0.000085 0.000180 0.000412 0.001011 0.002619 0.007828
2025-06-01 0.000039 0.000082 0.000176 0.000411 0.001031 0.002744 0.008487